Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 5.159826e-06 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2025-04-20 4.357775e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012
2025-04-27 3.839534e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014
2025-05-04 3.394291e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016
2025-05-11 3.071239e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000019
2025-05-18 2.784465e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022
2025-05-25 2.561114e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000026
2025-06-01 2.324972e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000030
2025-06-08 2.155726e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000034
2025-06-15 2.019050e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000039
2025-06-22 1.860733e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000043
2025-06-29 1.741698e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000049
2025-07-06 1.605444e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000054
2025-07-13 1.512956e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000061
2025-07-20 1.446302e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000073
2025-07-27 1.370466e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000030 0.000083
2025-08-03 1.312182e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000033 0.000098
2025-08-10 1.250054e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000035 0.000112
2025-08-17 1.198726e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000038 0.000131
2025-08-24 1.131695e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000015 0.000040 0.000145
2025-08-31 1.083619e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000043 0.000167
2025-09-07 1.043359e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000046 0.000194
2025-09-14 9.880778e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000048 0.000213